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Original and new-to-screen films box office tracking

Box Office Behavior: A Modern Playbook for Original & New-to-Screen Films

Unless you’ve been living under a rock — or the Rock, given his propensity for franchises — it’s clear that established intellectual property (films based on comic books, novels, video games, musicals, as well as sequels, prequels, spinoffs, reboots, etc.)...
Primate Box Office

Weekend Preview: ‘Primate’ Represents 2026’s Baseline Horror

One of the first major studio releases of the year this weekend is Primate, going up against January veteran Gerard Butler in Greenland 2: Migration. Also crowding the schedule is a host of holiday holdovers and one of theaters’ greatest...

Early Movers: 4 Films Winning Every Early Signal in 2026

The domestic box office totaled roughly $8.6 billion in 2025—on par with 2024 and still 20–25% smaller than the boom years of the late 2010s. Hollywood’s common post-pandemic refrain of “Survive till 2025” has now become “Fix it in 2026.”...
Film tracking box office mid budget movies Netflix viewership

Hollywood's Vanishing Middle Class

Box Office Behavior: Hollywood’s Vanishing Middle Class

Despite the middle-class squeeze, mid-budget movies can and do still succeed, albeit in separate ecosystems. Hollywood is struggling far more with a marketing problem than an audience issue. As the New York Times recently argued, studios are adept at flooding traditional channels with loud, expensive shotgun-blast marketing. But advertising—which is designed to elicit a decision from the consumer—is driven by segmenting, sequencing, and message alignment. And that’s exactly where mid-budget titles either out-perform expectations or get KOed on opening weekends.

A still from One Battle After Another – Leonardo DiCaprio aiming a rifle

Box Office Behavior:

Inside Warner Bros.’ $4 Billion Year

Too often in life we are content with just the first layer of understanding. Sure, the 30,000-foot view can provide a big picture explanation — Apple is successful because it sells a lot of iPhones. But as we dig deeper, we develop a greater grasp on the mechanics that drive success and failure, allowing us to better perform in the future.

Let’s apply that thinking to Warner Bros., which became the first studio in 2025 to top $4 billion in ticket sales and the first studio ever to deliver seven consecutive films that opened to at least $40 million. When deconstructing the studio’s slate, observable commonalities among its hits and misses emerge for pre-release audience sentiment…

A still from The Running Man, A still from Five Nights at Freddy’s 2, A still from Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

Tracking Schedule:

Week of 10/20/25

Two new films added to The Quorum this week: David and Dead Man’s Wire. Films being updated include The Running Man, Five Nights at Freddy’s 2, and Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere.