Film Tracking
Six-Weeks Out
12.4.2025
Can the U.S. box office out-perform expectations and deliver the first $9 billion-plus year since 2019? While it doesn’t look likely, Hollywood is certainly hoping for a miracle. Working in the industry’s favor is the lucrative holiday release real estate that has proven generous in the past.
But Avatar: Fire and Ash will need to perform like its predecessors while dark horse prestige pic Marty Supreme breaks out into the mainstream. Easier said than done.
| Awareness | Interest | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Title | Date | Dist. | Score | 2-week Δ | Score | 2-week Δ |
| Ella McCay | 10/17/2025 | 20TH | 22 | 10 | 30 | 4 |
| Silent Night, Deadly Night | 10/17/2025 | CINE | 31 | 11 | 36 | 4 |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | 10/24/2025 | 20TH | 75 | 12 | 54 | 3 |
| The SpongeBob Movie | 10/24/2025 | PAR | 64 | 15 | 41 | 2 |
| The Housemaid | 10/24/2025 | LGF | 42 | 11 | 41 | 5 |
| David | 11/07/2025 | ANGL | 34 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| Marty Supreme | 11/07/2025 | A24 | 20 | 2 | 33 | 2 |
| Anaconda | 11/14/2025 | SNY | 59 | 17 | 52 | 7 |
| Song Sung Blue | 11/14/2025 | FCS | 29 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
| Primate | 11/14/2025 | PAR | 18 | 0 | 31 | 2 |
| Greenland: Migration | 11/21/2025 | LGF | 16 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Years Later: Bone Temple | 11/26/2025 | SNY | 25 | -3 | 33 | -2 |
| Mercy | 11/26/2025 | MGM | 23 | 1 | 43 | -2 |
| Send Help | 12/05/2025 | 20TH | 18 | 1 | 37 | -1 |
Based on survey data. www.thequorum.com
N: New to tracking.
Δ reflects gain or loss from two weeks ago.
Awareness: “Do you know about this film?” (%)
Interest: “Are you interested in seeing this film?” (%)
The Smashing Machine
1,460 survey responses
Interest breakdown: 47% of aware, 64% of unaware
Awareness
46%
Know about Film
Theater Intent
33%
In theaters
Interest
24%
Want to See
Heat Score
33%
Overall buzz
Willing to Pay
24%
Will pay
Premium Format
4%
PLF interest
The Man with the Bag
1,456 survey responses
Interest breakdown: 50% of aware, 60% of unaware
Awareness
14%
Know about Film
Theater Intent
25%
In theaters
Interest
18%
Want to See
Heat Score
7%
Overall buzz
Willing to Pay
36%
Will pay
Premium Format
3%
PLF interest
Soul on Fire
1,460 survey responses
Interest breakdown: 47% of aware, 64% of unaware
Awareness
12%
Know about Film
Theater Intent
24%
In theaters
Interest
15%
Want to See
Heat Score
5%
Overall buzz
Willing to Pay
35%
Will pay
Premium Format
4%
PLF interest